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Over-optimism in estimation: bias or error?

Working paper by Giuseppe Sassano and Antoine Vernet asking whether over-optimism in project estimation reflects systematic bias or random error.
experiment
optimism bias
project estimation
project forecasting

Giuseppe Sassano, Antoine Vernet, “Over-optimism in estimation: bias or error?,” Under review.

Authors
Affiliations

Giuseppe Sassano

Oxford Global Projects

Antoine Vernet

University College London

Published

January 12, 2025